The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Killing Us

Our world rushes into the Abyss with such stunning speed, that there seems to be little that we can do except stand open-mouthed in shock. To even attempt to warn the thundering herd of their insanity, is to risk bodily harm and even death. If you stand in the way, you will certainly be trampled. And, it seems to have everything to do with an observation by David Dunning and Justin Kruger.

The truly incompetent think that they are capable.

The truly capable worry that they are incompetent.

You see this everywhere, and it is an utterly amazing defect in our nature.


Subscribe to The Shock Letter and receive my articles in your inbox:

Or, get the Shock Letter via RSS Feed:

And, don’t forget to keep track of the comments:

(Omega Shock readers leave great comments!)


The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Killing Us

The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Killing Us – The ShockCast

YouTube shortlink:

MP3 Audio:

The Top SEVENTEEN Videos Of The Past Week:

(You were bored, right?)



I think that I can speak for all of you, when I say that we’ve been fighting insanity for all of our lives. The battle usually starts with our own insanity. Parents, church and education were supposed to help us along the way towards sanity. But, the best that they’ve been able to do is get us close.

If you have actually attained that painful condition that we like to think of as ‘sane’, you have my sympathy. It means that you get to keep your head, while watching everyone lose theirs. And, it’s utterly depressing.

The Utter Rarity

As I look around me, it seems that very few have enough brain cells working to actually understand what is happening. In fact, meeting someone with ANY understanding, is so rare that I suffer a bit of shock. The desire to put that person under a microscope and discover how they achieved this moment of clarity is almost overwhelming.

In fact, I’ve had to get a firm grip on myself, more than once, when talking to someone who actually ‘gets it’. It’s a good thing that I don’t have a heart condition, or I might have died from shock, years ago.

It is far more common for Mrs. Little to ask me to calm down and stop attempting to strangle a person for being completely insane. More than one person probably owes their continued existence to the intervention of my lovely wife. And every time I feel the urge to throttle someone, I often find myself mystified by their horrifying stupidity. And, it gives me a little comfort to know that there’s a name for their affliction:

The Dunning-Kruger Effect

Here are a couple of interesting videos on the subject:

The Dunning-Kruger Effect and Why You’re Dumber Than You Think


Why incompetent people think they’re amazing – David Dunning


Oh, and then there’s this far more concise and famous explanation from John Cleese:

John Cleese on Stupidity (The Dunning-Kruger Effect)


How About You?

Unfortunately for Mr. Cleese, his last comment was proof of what we are talking about.

So, how do you know that you suffer from this insidious condition?

Well, I guarantee that you do. I certainly do. I am completely confident that I suffer this condition alongside you. I just don’t always know WHERE I suffer it the most. To put it more succinctly:

I’m smart enough to know that I’m stupid.

I like what Ralph Barbagallo said on the subject in his short article:

How To Know If You Are Suffering From Dunning-Kruger

The first two paragraphs are these:

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a plague that strangles the progress of humanity. It is the fact that those who suck, overestimate their ability; while those who don’t, underestimate their ability.

Dunning-Kruger is what keeps money flowing to the confident and inept, only for these funds to be set ablaze in a bonfire of incompetence. Once the fire is out, a new flame burns as the cycle repeats. Those who possess true skill often do not have the self confidence to start their own fire. Perhaps this is why we don’t have our flying car.

(I changed the punctuation a bit for clarity)

The Confident And Inept

In this article Ralph is speaking from a business point of view, but you can apply it everywhere. But, Mr. Barbagallo added something else to this idea – an added dimension. It’s in this statement:

Dunning-Kruger is what keeps money flowing to the confident and inept…

Yes. That’s the one. It’s that exceptional aura of confidence and capability that so many foolish and moronic business people exude. And, that shining confidence draws the unwary like moths to a flame. The same goes for politicians. They are the ultimate examples.

Think of all the morons who have stood in front of a microphone and confidently proclaimed their ability to fix all the world’s problems if you elect them. And, inspired by their self-confidence and grandiose dreams, we elected them – only to be disappointed in their extreme stupidity and corruption. And then, we do it again. And, again.

What we need to do, is elect people who are smart and don’t know if they can fix our problems, but will give an honest effort to do their best. But, we aren’t inspired by such timidity. We like confident, masculine people that inspire us with their vision of a fantastic future.

If you need an example, think of that ‘Green New Deal’ that Occasional Cortex presented to us recently. Then there’s Al Gore and his Global Warming. Obama promised that if we liked our doctor, we could keep our doctor. Theresa May claimed that she could make a good deal with the EU over Brexit. Merkel promised that more immigrants would solve the pension crisis. And, Flat Earthers still say that the Earth is FLAT.

The Flat Earth Mentality

When I first stumbled across the Flat Earth insanity, I didn’t know about the Dunning Kruger Effect, so I just called it the Flat Earth Mentality. My most recent article on the subject comes from last year:

The Flat Earth Mentality

Here’s the video:

The Flat Earth Mentality – The ShockCast

How utterly insane.

Why do we keep creating such insane ideas?


It’s a part of what Ralph said about the money flowing to the confident and inept. We are drawn to those who speak with confidence, even if these people don’t know what they are talking about. And, they are confident because these foolish leaders DO NOT KNOW THAT THEY ARE INEPT!

Please understand that these morons are convincing, precisely because they believe in what they are saying. They BELIEVE that they are correct. Occasional Cortex really does believe in her Green New Deal. Bernie Sanders really does believe that socialism works. Flat Earthers really do believe that the Earth is FLAT.

All of those people are honest in their convictions, and we hear that honesty. And, if we are foolish enough, we’ll respond positively to that honesty and conviction and give them our votes – and/or our money. We will believe them. Worse, the Internet has given far too many people a platform to speak from, where they can sway the ignorant and foolish.

And, it’s killing us.

The challenge is in escaping this affliction, in avoiding the pitfall of assuming that we are more competent than we really are. And, part of the secret lies in the first of the last three sentences in that article by Ralph Barbagallo:

I like to say that I’m just smart enough to know I’m a complete idiot. But, when it comes to Dunning-Kruger, It’s not enough to be humble. You could be faking it.

Oops. He talked about that horrible word, ‘humility’. And yes, we absolutely need it, if we are to survive the coming months and years. But, unfortunately, some people are good at faking humility. Even to themselves.

Follow The Voice Of Jesus

Of course, Ralph is talking about business, and I’m more interested in your ability to navigate the uncertain future of these last days. And, THAT requires more than just the knowledge that you are a complete idiot.

In spiritual things…

You MUST confine yourself to what the Bible ACTUALLY says – and not what you THINK it says, or even what someone TOLD you that it says.

Please understand that Jesus called us sheep, and it wasn’t out of admiration for our intelligence. God knows that we’re stupid. But, He did say this:

My sheep hear my voice, and I know them, and they follow me:

 – John 10:27

As the world falls apart around us… as countless numbers of foolish people chase after insanity …we must devote ourselves to hearing HIS voice and following HIM.

He is our safety in the midst of madness.



Read my book, Ezekiel’s Fire.

It’s free, and it may just save your life.

Here’s the website:

Or, download the PDF:

For E-Pub Format:

And, Kindle Format:




Yup, more than just special, these links appear to be the most important of all. Seriously, start with these.

And yes, these are pretty serious.

Turkey: Uniting an “Army of Islam” to Defeat Just One Country

Turkey is calling for a united, Islamic army to invade and destroy Israel. Here are the first three paragraphs:

Istanbul recently hosted the second “International Islamic Union Congress,” sponsored mainly by the Strategic Research Center for Defenders of Justice (ASSAM), which is headed by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s chief military advisor, Adnan Tanriverdi, a retired lieutenant general and an Islamist .

At the conference, Tanriverdi delivered a speech detailing the inner workings of the “Islamic Confederal State” that ASSAM aims to establish with 61 Muslim countries. In his address, Tanriverdi said that a “rapid deployment force” should be created. Judging by an article Tanriverdi penned in 2009, the purpose of this joint Islamic force is to defeat Israel, which “should be made to get engaged [in war] and the length of the war should be extended.”

“If Israel has to call all of its reserve soldiers to duty,” he explained, “there will be no one left at home or in their businesses. It cannot continue like that for a long time.”

Of course, that’s only the beginning. Just the beginning. And, the non-Arab Muslims will gather their forces together to invade and destroy Israel.

Those of us who read the Bible, know this as the coming of Gog and Magog. And, those of you who live outside of Israel will be in even greater peril, because it will also be the coming of Ezekiel’s Fire.

You really need to be ready for Ezekiel’s Fire. You can start by reading my book on it. It’s free. And, as I keep saying, it might save your life.

The Vatican’s Secret Rules for Priests Who Have Children

This is so vile and revolting, I can hardly believe it. It shows just how corrupt the Roman Catholic Church is. So, not only do we have 80% of Vatican priests as homosexual, we have horrifying pedophiles that are raping little boys and girls.

Then, we have an implicit acceptance of infidelity, fornication and rape among the priests. They took VOWS of celibacy, and they violated those vows, but nothing happened to them.

This is so horrendous, I’m going to quote three sections of this piece:

The longstanding tradition of celibacy among Roman Catholic clergy was broadly codified in the 12th century, but not necessarily adhered to, even in the highest places. Rodrigo Borgia, while a priest, had four children with his mistress before he became Pope Alexander VI, an excess that helped spur Martin Luther’s Protestant Reformation. Luther wrote mockingly that the pope had as much command over celibacy as “the natural movement of the bowels.”

There are no estimates of how many such children exist. But Mr. Doyle said that the website for his support group, Coping International, has 50,000 users in 175 countries.

Wait. This stupid, unbiblical ‘vow of celibacy’ was invented about 900 years ago?

What moron came up with this idiocy?

I know. I know. I could look it up, but I’m too disgusted to do that now. So, let’s get some more disgust going by quoting another part of this article:

Some children of priests, however, wish their fathers were forced out of the ministry.

Rev. Pietro Tosi was 54 when he raped Erik Zattoni’s mother, who was 14, Mr. Zattoni said. Her family tried to force the priest to recognize their son, but he refused. The family was evicted from their parish-owned home in a tiny town outside Ferrara, Italy, where they often bumped into each other.

“He never said anything,” said Mr. Zattoni, now 37.

In 2010, Mr. Zattoni sued Father Tosi, demanding to be recognized. A court-ordered DNA test demonstrated that he was in fact the priest’s son. The Vatican eventually instructed Father Tosi’s bishop to admonish him and remind him of his responsibilities as a father, but did not demand his removal from the priesthood.

After a national news program highlighted his case, hundreds of Italians filled a Ferrara piazza in 2013, to show support for Mr. Zattoni and press Francis to take up his case.

Father Tosi died in 2014, still a priest.

So, this disgusting priest… this ‘Father’ …was still accepted as a priest, by the Roman Catholic Church, even though there was absolute proof that he raped a 14 year old girl. What a vile, evil and nauseating ‘church’.

How is it that these morons can call themselves ‘holy’?

Are they too stupid to understand their hypocrisy?

Are they so corrupted that they no longer understand the word ‘holy’?

Or is it both?

I actually believe that they really are utter morons who are too corrupt to either see that they are drooling idiots, or that they are destined for eternal fire.

And yes, the pope, too. The whole, foul bunch are going straight to Hell. Forever.

But, let’s dip a third time into this article:

The children of priests are increasingly turning to DNA tests to prove that their parents are either priests or nuns.

“It’s a breakthrough, and anybody can do it,” said Linda Lawless, 56, an amateur genealogist in Australia, and herself the daughter of a priest, who has helped members of Coping International.

Her mother kept her paternity secret, but Ms. Lawless remembered noticing as a child that her mother was “absolutely terrified” whenever priests visited the house.

Her mother was terrified?

So, these foul priests aren’t just raping their congregation, they’re also terrorizing them into submission. These are soulless ghouls, feasting on the dead bodies of their congregation. These twisted psychopaths are fiends from Hell that are doing their best to take as many people as they can into eternal torment.

I would ask that God would destroy this foul and evil abomination, but God is already doing that. I think that a part of my outrage is in how stupid this all is.

If you’re going to ‘pull a fast one’ on us, the least that you could do is be intelligent about it. This is like being swindled by a halfwit. You’re outraged AND disgusted.

French judge refuses to block Catholic sex scandal movie | Hosted

Oh, and here’s more. And, this quote… wow:

Preynat has confessed to abusing Boy Scouts and his victims say church hierarchy covered up for him for years, allowing him to work with children right up until his 2015 retirement.

And, they wanted to suppress this movie, citing a ‘presumption of innocence’. Sorry, but that’s a LEGAL ‘presumption’. The truth is a different matter, and I’m glad that this movie exposes just how foul and vile the Roman Dirtbag Catholic Church is.

The good thing, is that this foul and evil priest had enough decency to write letters to families, confessing the abuse that he committed. My hope is that this represents repentance. The real kind. But, you’ll notice that he’s not declaring himself ‘not guilty’. The foul church that has protected him, isn’t either.

The Roman Catholic Church needs to be renamed. It should be called the Roman Catholic Church of Satan. It’s a small change, but an accurate one. The Catholic Church of Satan. It has a certain ring to it. The ring of truth.

‘Smiling depression’: it’s possible to be depressed while appearing happy – here’s why that’s particularly dangerous

Long time readers of Omega Shock know that I suffer from chronic, unending depression. And, it’s really bad. I’ve also suffered this condition for pretty close to all of my life. But, it crept up on me gradually enough, that… by the time that I figured out that I needed help …it was already too late to stop it (assuming that this was possible).

It’s also prevalent on BOTH sides of my family, and my auto immune conditions might be the main cause for my depression. For those interested in the details, I have Hashimoto’s disease and Henoch-Schonlein Purpura, and who knows what else. And yes, there could be a third one running around in there.

Yet, I have had a tremendous amount of success. I have always been able to do whatever it is that I wanted to do. I’ve spent 23 years in Asia. I’m married to the most beautiful woman on the planet. And, I’m good at what I do, when I’m doing it.

The world is my oyster – a saying that I’ve never understood.

I’m also an incurable optimist, which must be unusual to hear, because I do so much ‘gloom and doom’ writing. But, it’s true. I truly believe that we – you and I – can do anything that we set our minds to, if God wills it.

If we merely submit ourselves to God, nothing can stop us. And, I am living, walking proof of this.

I even have a sense of humor and love to laugh. Yet, my depression is crushing, so much so that there are times when I can barely move, where it takes everything that I have, just to read and write. And sometimes, not even then. It’s as if I weigh a thousand pounds.

Here, let me moan and groan a bit over my afflictions. Here’s what generally feel:









Ache and pain

A rather strong desire to be hit by a bus.

(If anyone needs someone for a mission with a zero chance of survival, for a good enough cause, count me in!)

I’ve got all that, turned up to eleven – which makes no sense. I am literally the opposite of all that, although the ‘aches and pains’ have gotten worse over the last few years, which is either my autoimmune diseases or just getting older. Probably both.

So, I’m really mystified by all of this. But, it’s there, so I accept it – and have gotten treatment for it, which has helped, a little. And, the only reason why I talk about it, is because there are so very many of you who suffer with me in this.

Those of you who do not suffer depression, you do not understand and cannot understand. Yes, there might have been moments in your life, when you were depressed. But, chronic depression is a far nastier animal. It never, ever ends. Any let up in this affliction, any ‘breather’, is only temporary. It’ll be back again. All too soon. With a vengeance. And, you know, that it will only end, when you die.

So, you look forward to death. It’s the ultimate anesthetic. When you die, the pain will end. It will be over.

The best that I have been able to do, to try and help others understand, is to ask them to imagine having flu symptoms, every day, all day – for the rest of their life. Never, ever ending. Always having them, except for those moments in time when there is a brief respite. Most still don’t get it, but some do. And, in a very real sense, chronic depression is like that.

An unending case of the flu.

Now, for those of you who sympathize with me in my affliction, I appreciate it, but it’s not my purpose for writing about it. And, I am richly blessed, anyway.

Oh, and I’m stubborn and strong-willed, which helps. And, I have a wife who has a sense of humor about all this. So really, I’m good.

What I REALLY want, is for you to be sympathetic – and even empathetic – to those around you. For many sufferers, their strength isn’t enough. For many who suffer, they don’t have the help of friends and family.

Worse, those who suffer depression are regularly abused by those who sneer at their affliction. They mock those who take antidepressants. They jeer those who feel unable to keep going. I’ve seen too much of this, and it makes me want to bash heads. And, there are predators among us, who delight in afflicting the afflicted.

We live in an evil world where the weak are abused in our ‘holier than thou’ churches. And, you need to do your best to stand in the gap. And, if you can, do your best to help those who suffer.

Never give advice unless you really know what you are doing. And basically, those who know what they are doing, almost never give advice. And, the only thing that you really CAN do is encourage a sufferer to get help and help them strive for a purpose in their life. And, the only real purpose that anyone can have, is Christ.

In other words, be a good friend. I’ve had some of those, who where were there, at the right time, when I needed them most.

Now, you might be wondering about why I’m writing all this, at this specific moment, and it’s about this article with a strange term:

Smiling Depression.

I think that a better term would be:

Laughing Depression

But, the writer didn’t ask me, and this term ‘smiling depression’, is fine – if people want to use it.

Anyway, this is the first time that I recall ever heard that term, and the author’s use of the term is a pretty good description of myself – and about half (or more) of those who are depressed. In fact, it has been my experience that the funniest guy in the room, is usually the one who is most depressed.

Think of all the great comedians. Pretty much every one of them is horribly depressed. Those who aren’t are probably lying about it. And, I thought that everyone knew this.

From this article, it seems that people do NOT know this. In fact, I see from this article that there’s a more official term:

Atypical Depression

Oh. Right. As if depression wasn’t already ‘atypical’ enough.

When I left the US to go back to Israel in 2010, I had a chance to help someone understand her father’s suicide. She was giving me a last haircut before we left, and she was still puzzled and grieving over he father’s recent, self-inflicted death. He had seemed so happy, and ready to laugh and joke. And, he always lifted the spirits of everyone around him.

He was such a good dad.

And then, one day, he killed himself while they were out shopping.

So, I told her what was really going on in his tortured soul. I told her much of what I just told you, and by the time that the haircut was done, she understood – at least, as much as she could. She realized that death was the end of suffering for him.

Unfortunately, I don’t think that he was in Christ, when he died. So, I’m afraid that his suffering was just beginning.

Oh, and no, I do not think that God will send you to Hell for suicide. But, you WILL face God, after you do that. And, He will be very unhappy with you for killing yourself.

Think of it this way. We have a job to do, and you are not allowed to stop your work and go home early. Only when the job is done, do you get to go home. Period.

So, if you ever hear that I was hit by a bus or taken down by the Ravenous Bugblatter Beast of Traal, you’ll know that my job was done and that I’m glad it’s over.

So please, do your best to be a good friend to those who suffer. And, if YOU suffer, well… help yourself out by being a good friend. You really can be a big help to yourself, when you help others.

Hey, even baking cookies for someone can be a big help. I know that one of you did that.

Oh, and being grateful to God. THAT is a HUGE help. I know that one personally. I truly am grateful for all that God has done for me. That gratitude has been a balm to my soul, even though God has had to put up with a lot of complaining from me.

Thankfully, God is very patient with all our moaning and groaning.

Youtube is Facilitating the Sexual Exploitation of Children, and it’s Being Monetized (2019) – YouTube

Do not click this link, if you do not want to get so angry that you’ll want to break things and break people.


I want God to kill them all. Every. Single. One. Of. Them.

These filthy child rapists need to die, and I don’t care if some of them haven’t touched a child yet. I want God to kill them. Dead. And, I would love permission from God to help Him in this – and, it’s not as if He needed that help.

How does God feel about this?

He wants them dead more than I do. And, the only reason why He hasn’t destroyed them, is that there are souls that still need to be rescued before He removes the block that keeps Satan from bringing the Antichrist.

But, that block is going to be removed, and this entire world will be turned over to Satan for the destruction of the flesh, in the same way that Paul speaks of in 1 Corinthians 5:5. And, we will be there, also.

When that happens, billions will die. And, we will deserve it, because we let this happen. We did this. We allowed it. So, we will suffer.

And, make no mistake. We could track these perverts down. We know how to do this.

For crying out loud, I KNOW HOW TO DO THIS!!!

But, we won’t. Because we are evil.

Seriously, it’s not hard to track data packets, if you are in control of the network. But, the NSA, the CIA, GCHQ, the FBI and all the others don’t want these perverts taken down. YouTube and Google don’t. Wall Street and Washington D.C. don’t.

Children are precious in the sight of God. And, we are destroying them.

Something is Terribly Wrong With Many “Kids” Videos on YouTube – The Vigilant Citizen

Here’s even more from two years ago. This is what they are showing on ‘kids’ videos.

YouTube is Still Enabling the Sexualization of Children (and It’s Being Monetized) – The Vigilant Citizen

And, here is Vigilant Citizen, now. And, there’s another video embedded in this one that is also horrifying.

oftwominds-Charles Hugh Smith: Let’s Face It: The U.S. Constitution Has Failed

Why did it fail?

Because we chose people to destroy it.

Because we chose to believe the lies that we were told.

Because we gave up God.

As John Adams said:

Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other.

Is America a moral and religious people?

No, she is not, so she is doomed.

Where are the whistleblowers? – YouTube

This is yet another reason why the United States MUST BE DESTROYED.

Just because of the CIA?

Unfortunately, yes. I know that this is an extreme position to take, but the CIA is so malignant and unstoppable, that the only way to stop them is to break America up and destroy those parts that are pure evil.

Please understand that the CIA isn’t just a menace to America. They are a menace to the rest of the world. There is no place safe from these vile and evil people. They put heroin on the streets of countries around the world. They engage in sex trafficking and the buying and selling of children. They undermine and overthrow governments – without the approval of the US president, or Congress.

They are a cancer that must be eliminated.

Unfortunately, there are too few men like Kevin Shipp, so this cancer will not be eliminated. This means that God will do this.

Remember the warnings that Jeremiah gave to Israel. If you repent and obey, you will be spared. If you will not, you will be utterly destroyed.

Do you see repentance and obedience in America?

Well, there’s your answer.

Prepare for judgment.


I truly hope that you’ll be ready for this

A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.Proverbs 22:3


If you find a flaw in my reasoning, have a question, or wish to add your own viewpoint, leave a comment on the website. Your input is truly welcome.


Click the following link and SHOCK your inbox with The Shock Letter:

Or, get the Shock Letter via RSS Feed:

And, don’t forget to keep track of the comments: