Shemitah and the Economic Cycle

Many have come to me and talked about how closely the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) correlates with what Jonathan Cahn says about the year of Shemitah. Also, both ‘models’ indicate that there will be economic fireworks after the Summer of 2015.

Curiouser and curiouser.

So, I thought that I would add my own two-cents to this issue, and tell you what I think about this correlation. And yes, I DO admit that there is a correlation. But, it’s probably NOT the correlation that you think.

Also, please be careful. Judaism and Christianity do not mix. Consulting Talmud about such questions is wrong.


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Shemitah and the Economic Cycle

Just to make everything clear, I have an absolutely profound love for the Jewish people – and even the Arab people. And, God has a profound love for the Jewish people, too. But, I do not like how many Christians have been consulting Talmud to understand the Bible.

I understand why Christians would want to do that. The Jews have spent thousands of years trying to understand the Old Testament, just as we have. And, the Jews are just so… well …smart about the whole thing. And, when you have a love for the Jewish people, you tend to identify with them.

Judaism Is Anti Jesus Christ

But, as much as I love the Jewish people, I also know that they have rejected Christ. And, they have spent the last almost-two thousand years reinforcing that point. Even the Jewish people have understood this.

Several years ago, when I was living in Israel, I heard one Jewish theologian remark:

95% of Judaism is the statement, “we are not Christian”

And, I completely understand that. Almost two thousand years ago, Judaism and Christianity were remarkably similar. In fact, the only thing separating Judaism and Christianity was a person:

Jesus Christ

Since the rabbis were dead set against the acceptance of Jesus, they decided to emphasize elements within Judaism that would ‘protect’ their followers from becoming Christian. And, when that wasn’t enough, they added elements and concepts to keep Christianity at bay.

Then, when the Second Temple was destroyed, Judaism found itself further twisted with even more concepts and traditions. And, all of that was codified in the Talmud.

I believe that it is a sad thing to twist a religion and culture like that, but it is their right to do so. Just as it is their right to choose to suffer for eternity in the life to come.

No One Is Half-Saved

Please understand that salvation is like being pregnant. Just as there is no such thing as being ‘almost pregnant’ or ‘kinda pregnant’, there is no such thing as being ‘kinda saved’. To put it another way:

God doesn’t have nieces and nephews

God only has sons and daughters, and I hope and pray that you are counted as one.

The rule for all Christians is this:

Anyone who does not acknowledge Jesus Christ as their Lord, Savior and God – is not saved. Period.

And, anyone who does not conform to that rule, is:


Not THE Antichrist, but little-a-antichrist. And, we were all antichrist before we were saved. To say otherwise is to demonstrate how little we know about salvation.

Anti-Zionists Are Fools

That’s why I am always mystified by the anti-Zionists who use the Jewish people’s hatred of Christ as an excuse to hate Israel. Such fools do not understand that it is a rule that those who are not Christian will hate Christ and His followers.

And yes, I believe everyone who doesn’t understand this a fool.


Because this demonstrates such a colossal level of spiritual ignorance about the most basic tenet of Christian faith, that it leads me to put a question mark over the idea of whether such a person is truly saved. And THAT is my definition of a fool. The alternative is to admit that you are colossally ignorant and uneducated about the principles of God.

God promised to save the Jewish people in Israel one day, but until then, they will be against what WE believe. And THAT is how salvation works. To believe otherwise is to label yourself a fool or an ignoramus.

Okay. I think that I’ve gotten off track a bit, so let me get to the main point:

I haven’t talked much about Shemitah because of the connection to Judaism.

But, that doesn’t mean that there isn’t something that is worth talking about. So let me do that.

Shemitah Is Spelled Wrong

By the way, the other thing that I dislike about ‘Shemitah’ is the spelling. It just rubs me wrong to see a Hebrew word misspelled like that. The proper spelling is:


And, it is pronounced like this:


But, since everyone spells the word as s-h-e-m-i-t-a-h, I will spell it like that too. But, just know that I will grumble and grind my teeth every time I do so.

Shemitah Short-Circuits The ECM

Okay, I’m getting off track, yet again.

So, how does the year of shemitah (grr!) and the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) intersect?

My answer:

I believe that observing the year of shemitah will short-circuit the ECM.

Let me explain.

Shemitah Is Not A Law Of The Universe

First of all, the year of shemitah is not a universal constant like pi, Planck’s Constant or the Cosmological Constant. The year of Shemitah is a law imposed upon us by God.

But, God did that for a reason.

Here is what Jesus said about the Sabbath:

And he said unto them, The sabbath was made for man, and not man for the sabbath:Mark 2:27

The same goes for the year of shemitah. It doesn’t matter which year you start counting from, the seventh year is the year of shemitah. The Universe doesn’t revolve around a seven day or seven year rhythm.

A Year Of Shemitah Is Good For Us

It is WE who need to live according to a seven year rhythm.

To put it another way, it is good for us to rest every seventh day and every seventh year – whichever day or year that you might choose. Otherwise, we fall apart at 8.6 year intervals (i.e., the ECM).

Of course, no one has ever rested on the seventh year. Not the Jews, not anyone. Nor have we observed a seventh year for the release of debts – which is what shmita means. So, we don’t know what life would be like if we observed a year of shemitah.

But, take a moment and think about what would happen if we released everyone’s debts on the seventh year. Think about what would happen if we took a year off from work after six years. Think about what would happen if you didn’t charge interest on debts.

For one thing, you wouldn’t have any people who were ‘super rich’. It would be difficult for anyone to take advantage of anyone else. There would be no fractional reserve banking to distort an economy.

Since We Don’t Do Shemitah, We Have The ECM

What Martin Armstrong did, when he discovered the Economic Confidence Modelor ECM – was discover an 8.6 year rhythm to human nature. For whatever reason, we human beings decide to take a part of our hard work and pitch it out the window after a little more than eight and a half years. Some obviously do it more than others, and some sectors of our economy do it more than other sectors. But, that doesn’t change the fact that – as a group – we tend to destroy a large part of our productivity every three thousand, one hundred and forty one days.

Could it be that there is something inside of us that desperately needs a sabbatical, for a year, after six years of hard work?

I think so.

Just as God gave us the sabbath to rest, for our good and not His, God also gave us a sabbath year for our good. And, I believe that we – as a society – are most vulnerable to the 8.6 year cycle described in the ECM, because we do not observe the seventh year of release and rest.

So THAT is how I see the connection between the shemitah and the Economic Confidence Model.

I truly hope that you’ll be ready for this
(That’s a link. There’s not much time left.)

A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.Proverbs 22:3


If you find a flaw in my reasoning, have a question, or wish to add your own viewpoint, leave a comment on the website. Your input is truly welcome.


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