Doomsday in October 2015? Really?

Yes. Really.

I know. I know. It sounds crazy to think that something like the Economic Confidence Model (ECM) could be so accurate. But, it really does appear to be all THAT (and a bag of chips).

The only problem is that we tend to ignore what we do not understand. If something doesn’t make sense, it doesn’t exist to us, until we understand it.

So, let me give you a look a the really solid ideas that are the basis for the ECM, as well as giving you an example of someone discovering a principle at work – before another someone came along and gave us the HOW.

Ultimately, it doesn’t really matter how it works. What matters is that you take steps to get out of the way of what is coming.


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Doomsday in October 2015? Really?

As I said on Monday, everything runs according to some kind of cycle.

(By the way, sorry about no article yesterday.
I also teach a Bible class on Tuesday,
and I didn’t have the time –
or energy – to write.)

In fact, I can’t think of very much that doesn’t run according to some rhythm or cycle. And, the exceptions that I can think of, probably DO run according to a cycle that I just can’t see.

Example – The Discovery Of Brownian Motion

That brings to mind something that you might not have heard of:

Brownian Motion

Botanist Robert Brown was looking at pollen grains under a microscope. They were in water and moving. But, he couldn’t predict or describe the reason why they moved through the water in the way that they did. It seemed random to him.

That was in 1827.

Almost a hundred years later, in 1905, Albert Einstein published a paper that was able to give a mathematical basis for this seemingly random process.

To put it another way, a scientist who understood that the Universe was rational was seeing something that didn’t appear to be rational. And, it took an exceptionally rational person – Einstein – to show us how it really was rational.

I guess that you could call it an issue of faith. We needed to just have faith that there was a rational reason behind something that didn’t look all that rational – until someone could come along and use math to show us how it worked.

The Discovery Of A Business Cycle

So, just like Robert Brown, we also have noticed that there seems to be a certain motion to an economy. It goes boom for a while, and then bust – with a tremendous regularity.

And, it has taken an exceptionally rational person – like Martin Armstrong – to recognize the underlying mathematical nature to this rhythm.

And, it’s… π.

Yeah. I know. That’s a really strange idea, but let’s take a closer look.

How He Put It Together

Martin Armstrong first came fact-to-face with the idea of economic cycles, as a young man, when he realized that gold had been $162/ounce in 1869 – when he knew it to be $35/ounce at that moment in time in the 1960s. He said:

For the first time in my life, I was faced with a paradox that seemed to conflict with traditional concepts. How could gold be $162 in 1869 and yet be worth only $35 in the 1960’s? Surely, inflation was supposed to be linear. If a dollar was a lot of money in 1869, this meant that adjusted for inflation gold must have been the equivalent of several thousand dollars. If value was not linear, then was anything linear?

He dove into the library, researching everything that he could find on the possibility of cycles in business and economics. He read about the Kondratiev wave, but there didn’t seem to be enough behind it.

Then, Martin says:

I didn’t know how to go about such a quest to find if the business cycle was definable. Admittedly, I began with the very basic naive approach of simply adding up all the financial panics between 1683 and 1907 and dividing 224 years by the number of panics being 26 yielding 8.6 years. Well, this didn’t seem to be very valid at first, but it did allow for a greater amount of data to be tested compared to merely 3 waves described by Kondratieff.

Martin then resolved to test his observation:

Using 1929.75 as a reference point, major and minor turning points could then be projected forward in time. For the most part, I merely observed and kept to myself this strange way of thinking. In 1976, one of these 8.6-year turning points was quickly approaching (1977.05). For the first time, I began to use this model expecting a significant turn in the economy back toward inflation. My friends thought I was mad. Everyone was talking about how another Great Depression was coming. The stock market had crashed by 50% and OPEC seemed to be undermining everything. I rolled the dice and stuck to it and to my amazement, inflation exploded right on cue as gold rallied from $103 to $875 by January 1980.

Once Armstrong became convinced that he had found something that could help predict the turning points of the future, he began to put it to use.

The Success Of The ECM

In the 1980s he tried to warn the US government that currency manipulation would cause problems, but they ignored him. And, the Crash of ’87 came as he predicted it would – on October 19th, 1987.

But, even he doubted the accuracy of his own model. In fact, it took him a while to realize that the 8.6 year cycle that he was looking at was precisely:

pi x 1000..

…or 3141 days

I’m pulling all of this off of an old article that I found on the Internet. Martin was writing this in 1999, in which he also said:

The future that lies ahead will increasingly move ever greater toward intensity and volatility. Such periods have always brought not merely great booms and busts, but they too hold in the palm of their hand the thunderbolt of war. The economic future of Russia is one of such corruption and decay, that it too will rise as the warlord who seeks to regain what he has lost. China too will eventually beat the drums of war as its economy worsens and its leaders seek to hold the slippery reigns of power. Such periods of economic strife will begin to grow in intensity particularly following 2002.85 and moving into 2007.15. Only when economic chaos reaches a sudden state of eruption is it possible to see a successful revolution. The government was not prepared in Indonesia. However, unless a complete shock takes place in China and Russia, it is far more likely that these two nations will not fall to internal revolution but will seek to turn the economic tides against their neighbors. These are basic facts of history that cannot be denied. War is directly linked to the economic fate of mankind. Undermine the economy and you will create the next Hitler.

I find it interesting that he was so accurate.

Well, it gets better. In the same article, Martin offered up a graph that he had produced two years previously:

ECM 1985-2011
ECM 1985-2011

That is phenomenally accurate, and I showed you this graph, on Monday.

You can read a copy of Martin’s article, here:

Another Voice On The ECM

If you read the comments section of the post, you’ll read this one, by Joanie, on February 1st, 2007:

I heard Marty interviewed on the radio back in 1998 he was a guest on a stock market radioshow, He was fascinating and I heard him predict a turning point of july 20th 1998, which was a few days away, I thought OH SURE!! I was sceptical, but sure enough the turn down came and I watched it slide for a week, then I was convinced he was right on. I went to cash like he advised and didnt buy back in until Oct 1998 where he predicted a low turning point. It was like having an ace up your sleeve, and to witness it myself and profit was truely awesome.

Then again I eagerly listened to him again as a guest on the radio program and took notes on his prediction for the 2000 high and the 2002 low, and I took notes thinking this is crazy how am I going to buy stocks if their all going down for two years, I had never shorted, well let me tell you when the top in 2000 came and stocks just kept sliding, I learned how to short real fast and didnt cover till Martys 2002 Oct/Nov low, it was like poetry in motion. He in my mind became my stock Guru hahaa! He’s a phenominal genius. I will never second guess him again, I heard him in live on radio and witnessed it for myself. He had all kinds of turning points weekly, monthly, it was very cool! I wish we had him back, …and now we face the 2007 Feb.27 top turning point to the downside

Not many months later, we had the financial crisis of 2007-08.

Martin Armstrong’s Motivations

To get a better idea of Martin’s motivations, he wrote this recently:

If it is possible to make people aware of the truth behind the curtain, then just maybe we can save the day for our children and ourselves became this is coming at us head-on at warp speed now. There will be a turning point coming in history. This is when the big shifts in political systems take place like 1933 that saw Mao, Hitler, and FDR all come to power in one year.

I respect that. A LOT.

Martin Armstrong has said that his Economic Confidence Model is a global one. Each country will have their own model. And, Martin has said that the complete model has 32,000 different variables. The best thing to do with something that complex, is to follow the author of that model.

So, I recommend that you pay close attention to what Martin is saying and writing. You can do that, here:

And yes, I really do read and listen to what he has to say.

I truly hope that you’ll be ready for this
(That’s a link. There’s not much time left.)

A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.Proverbs 22:3


If you find a flaw in my reasoning, have a question, or wish to add your own viewpoint, leave a comment on the website. Your input is truly welcome.


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24 thoughts on “Doomsday in October 2015? Really?”

  1. All signs seem to be pointing at fall of 2015.

    Also, tie it in to the Blood Moons with end in 2015.

    In the Bible, we are told to look for the signs.

    We see Biblical and secular signs.

    Something wicked this way comes.

    Cycles of 7, also. 2001. 2008. 2015.

  2. I’ve got to confess John, I can’t grasp the reason for this model. I’m not denying it exists. But why does it exist? Is it written in stone from the beginning of history that every 8.6 years we will suffer economic collapse and war? And yet, here we are. Either the few controllers make this so or evil human nature is predictable and when certain conditions exist it is certain they will develope in a somewhat predictable way leading to a nasty mess. Which is why we must not allow government over reach.
    I am sure of this: I had unknowingly used elements of the FBI Cair test to determine in 2008 that Obama was going to deliberately destroy the U.S. and now we are looking at 2 years left in his second and final term. Not long. We better believe we are in for some earth shattering events soon. And I don’t think he is intending to go away in 2 years.

  3. Hi John, Nearly 2000 years ago Yeshua’s Emissaries (the Apostles) announced the end of the ages and really expected to see it all happen. 1 Peter 4:7 – “The end of all things is near: so be serious in your behaviour and keep on the watch with prayer;” 1 John 2:18 “this is the last hour; and as you have heard that the antichrist is coming, even now many antichrists have come.” 1 Corinthians 10:11- “but they were written down for our instruction, on whom the end of the ages has come.”

    As we know from history, the Judgement and birth of the Kingdom was delayed. Why? It actually looks like failed prophecy, but Cephas said YHWH has great patience. – 2 Peter 3:9 He has delayed His Judgement and His Kingdom for almost 2000 years and the evidence of history (and the prophets) indicates it could well be delayed for another 2000 years. Civilizations have been collapsing and others rising in their place forever, so what’s new?
    What New factor makes our generation different than all those that have gone before ? Yes, we now have weapons of mass destruction, but how will you escape them? By praying? What’s the KEY? Shalom michael

    • Hi Mike,

      Here’s what’s new:

      June 7th, 1967

      Connect that with:

      And they shall fall by the edge of the sword, and shall be led away captive into all nations: and Jerusalem shall be trodden down of the Gentiles, until the times of the Gentiles be fulfilled. – Luke 21:24


      THAT is what’s different.

      Please prepare, Mike. There isn’t much time left.

      Yours in Christ,

      John Little

  4. Business cycles. Rick Wiles speaks to this frequently.

    I don’t know, John. I’m not disagreeing – I know nothing of such concepts.

    But, I will suggest that the notion of plotting predictable cycles seems kinda like predicting the date of the LORD’S return. Doomed to failure, in other words.

    Maybe not. But this whole show (earth, mankind, the spiritual dimension, the whole stage and cast of characters) is under His control. If we try to out-guess Yehovah………… Well, you know.

    And the matter of Mr. Einstein. I delve into the philosophy of physics from time to time. Physicists are coming perilously close to confessing that many theorems and absolute laws may have problems; gravity, speed of light, so-called “string theory” seem to be a bit more facile than originally supposed.

    Physicists keep running into this immovable force when they “design” the universe according to their specifications. They run into the immovable force, bounce back, reconsider their theories, and charge forward one more time, only to keep bouncing repeatedly into the same immovable force.

    The immovable force? God.

    Here endeth the lesson for the day.

  5. Shalom John!

    Another sterling article, excellent! I have to agree, Martin’s chart is amazing. What is even more so is that, his chart almost perfectly coincides with the Shmitah, or land Sabbath cycle. The year of release of debts. Coincidence? Nah, I doubt it.

    End of September – beginning of October of 2015 is the end of the Shmitah year. I have heard many market crash predictions in the last few years that have come and gone, but if I was a gambling man, I might double down on October of 2015 for a major correction in the markets. A major resetting/release of debts.

    We live in interesting times, but since we are here, I accept that we were born for a time such as this.

    Shalom u’vracha


  6. So have you read this on Quayle today – (11/12)

    ?? Makes our USS Donald Cook look like the USS Donald Duck. Pretty freaky. The USA has really rotted from the top down, and I seriously doubt its ability to defend itself anymore against a worthy foe. What I find most disgraceful is the wars we have started have never been with a nation that had any chance of defeating us. It’s bullying, on a horrible scale. I read an interview of an Iraq veteran, a Marine, who said, “Make no mistake; this is not war, it’s slaughter. It’s the US Military against simple people with goat carts.”

    Reading the Voltaire article gave me the uncanny feeling that Putin is saying, “Really? Do you REALLY want to take us on??” I think Russia and China could take us out easily if we push them far enough, and the current gang of fools is itching to do just that.

  7. Their are timely predictions everywhere regarding the world collapse ! if you were to inform the public of such an event and you were the one who planned it or just a dope who regurgitated it to warn people.I ask would you give them the real date among so many , especially those that have past. The goal of giving a date would be to get out before hand,to be in a situation to control the masses ,or to realistically warn those in expectation of the event , but their is a third to have so many that even those dates that expire will lead to the masses not taking any of them seriously.”the best way to hide a lie,is to place it in between facts” and vice versa. I tell you to take it to the lord in humble prayer and ask for guidance to do the right thing.

  8. Dear John,
    I’ve also lived in Jerusalem. The prophets and final Revelation say she is now Sodom and Egypt; therefore destruction is her destinty. What makes you think I am not prepared? 99.9 % of believers are spiritually asleep – sadly deluded by false teachers and false prophets who tell them a secret rapture wiill take them up out of the way. Those in Jerusalem trusted the same lies in the year 70 CE. Yeshua said those who are not always watching and prepared will suffer the fate of unbelievers! – Luke 12:48. How are you prepared?

    • Hi Mike,

      No, Jerusalem will BE Sodom and Egypt, whether it is now, is hard to say.

      Please understand that much will need to happen before the Tribulation. Hopefully being in New Zealand will mean that you will be spared most of it – although, I have no idea.

      Gog and Magog, Ezekiel’s Fire, and the Salvation of Israel is coming.

      Yours in Christ,

      John Little

  9. Hi John,

    Great article. Just wondering from your perspective……if you were to move from the US……exactly where would you go to protect your family from war? South America….or New Zealand?

    • Hi Brad,

      If that were my choice, I’d go with New Zealand, because of the Solar Flare that is coming (Ezekiel’s Fire). But, be careful. Every place has its dangers, even New Zealand.

      Glad to have you taking steps towards safety, Brad. Keep up the good work.

      Yours in Christ,

      John Little

  10. I just found this sight, very interesting. After reading the articular about Doomsday 2015, it sounds a lot like Jonathan Cahn mystery of the Shemitah. Coincidence?

  11. Yall are all a bunch of fucking morons. There is not a shred of scientific evidence to support any of these crackpot theories. You should be trying to spread love and brotherhood instead of fear and hate


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